What’s The Points – Singapore Update

Previous entries:

    What’s The Points
    What’s The Points – China Update
    What’s The Points – Spain Update
    What’s The Points – Monaco Update
    What’s The Points – Turkey Update
    What’s The Points – Canada Update
    What’s The Points – Valencia Update
    What’s The Points – Great Britain Update
    What’s The Points – Germany Update
    What’s The Points – Hungary Update
    What’s The Points – Belgium Update
    What’s The Points – Italy Update

Below is a comparison of the World Championship positions for this year’s points (left), last year’s points-system (middle) and the older 10-6-4-3-2-1 approach (right). Ties are decided by countback.

1   Webber   202   Webber   80   Webber   64
2   Alonso   191   Alonso   77   Alonso   63
3   Hamilton   182   Hamilton   75   Hamilton   59
4      Vettel   181      Vettel   74      Vettel   54
5   Button   177   Button   72   Button   52
6   Massa   128   Massa   51   Massa   30
7   Rosberg   122   Rosberg   47   Rosberg   24
8   Kubica   114   Kubica   44   Kubica   22
9   Sutil   47   Schumacher   15   Schumacher   7
10   Schumacher   46   Sutil   15   Barrichello   6

Double-ouch for Lewis Hamilton with now two-races-in-a-row without troubling the scorers. Fernando Alonso, with another win, has taken fifty points in two races over his former British team-mate. Mark Webber just keeps adding to his tally with his sixth straight top-six finish, including four podiums. Massa needs to pick up or fall back into the clutches of Rosberg and Kubica.

The order in the three systems is boringly identical down to eighth-place, which, I supose, especially with such an up-and-down season for all the top drivers, becomes more inevitable as the season progresses. Hamilton loses the lead he held last time under last season’s points, in the other two systems losing second, to drop to third in all three. Vettel jumps Button to fourth in all three.

Uncle Bernie’s medal system involves giving the title to the driver with the most wins, with points settling the title if two or more drivers are tied on wins. Something suggested more than once in the past is a pure count-back system, which would give this order.

    Wins Seconds Thirds Podiums
1   Webber   4 2 2 8
2   Alonso   4 2 1 7
3   Hamilton   3 3 1 7
4   Button   2 3 1 6
5   Vettel   2 2 3 7
6   Massa   2 2 4
7   Kubica   1 2 3
8   Rosberg   3 3

Pure count-back promotes Button to fourth over Vettel, and Kubica past Rosberg to seventh. What is interesting is to look at this table in the order of the real points-standings.

    Wins Seconds Thirds Podiums
1   Webber   4 2 2 8
2   Alonso   4 2 1 7
3   Hamilton   3 3 1 7
4   Vettel   2 2 3 7
5   Button   2 3 1 6
6   Massa   2 2 4
7   Rosberg   3 3
8   Kubica   1 2 3

Webber leads the table with an average of 13·5 (rounded) points per race, with 15 for 3rd and 12 for 4th. The pattern of this ‘Championship seems to be that he who takes the most podiums will win.

The next table shows the points scored by the World Championship contenders over the last five events.

   Driver Score    Average
1   Alonso    93      18·6   
2   Webber   74   14·8   
3   Vettel   60   12·4   
4   Button   44   8·8   
5   Hamilton   37   7·4   

If these mean averages of recent performances are multiplied by the four remaining races, added to the points the drivers currently have, and rounded to the nearest point, it gives this projection of the final tally. Ties take into consideration the unrounded figures. The scores in brackets are on the basis of the Korean GP being cancelled.

1   Alonso   265   (247)
2   Webber   261   (246)
3   Vettel   229   (217)
4   Button   212   (203)
5   Hamilton   212   (204)

I think I can kiss the winnings of my bet on Hamilton to win the title goodbye. Also, I need to eat humble pie about deriding Alonso’s proclamations about still having a good shot at the ‘Championship a few races back. Fernando has won three of the last five races, plus a second and a non-finish. Hamilton has three non-points results in the last five, and McLaren have not had both cars in the points since Germany. I do not think Lewis will do as badly in the last few races as recently, or that Alonso will do as well, with Webber looking tentative favourite in my tarnished opinion.

These are the points if given to engines:

   Engine Score    Average
per Team
1   Mercedes    587      195·7   
2   Renault   516   258·5   
3   Ferrari   356   118·7   
4   Cosworth   56   14·8   

Despite the win, Ferrari only got their own cars into the points for 29, whilst Renault, with two podiums plus Kubica in 7th, made 39. Mercedes scored 24 with Button, Rosberg and Sutil contributing. Williams had both cars in the points to give Cosworth nine.

The scores by nationality of drivers are:

   Nation Points   Scoring
Drivers
1   Germany   413     5
2   Britain   359     2
3   Australia   202     1
4   Spain   200     3
5   Brazil   167     2
6   Poland   114     1
7   Japan   21     1
8   Russia   19     1
9   Italy   13     1
10   Switzerland   7     1

For the second race running, only the top-six nations scored points in the race. No changes in position, but Australia looks under pressure from Spain, although Pedro de la Rosa’s exit only leaves Buemi to back Alonso. In the race, Germany lead the scoring with Vettel, Rosberg, Sutil, and Hülkenberg all chipping in. Brazil was the only other nation with two scoring drivers, Barrichello and Massa.

This is the Nations’ Cup only counting the score of the highest driver in a race for each country. I have also decided to use 10-6-4-3-2-1, partly because I think it a better scoring regime, partly because it meant less work. Thus, for example, the McLaren 1-2 in China would give Britain 10 points for the win, nothing for second, and Rosberg’s third place would give Germany 4 points, with nothing for Vettel’s sixth place.

   Nation Points  
1   Britain   85    
2   Germany   67    
3   Australia   64    
4   Spain   63    
5   Brazil   38    
6   Poland   22    
7   Russia   2    
8   Japan   1    

Spain gain on Germany and Australia, but no changes in position. Only the top-five nations in the table scored (as in Italy).

This next table shows the standings based on qualification using current points.

1   Vettel   291
2   Webber   275
3   Alonso   180
4   Hamilton   176
5   Massa   124
6   Button   118
7   Rosberg   101
8   Kubica   97
9   Schumacher   45
10   Barrichello   37
11   Hülkenberg   22
12   Sutil   21
13   Liuzzi   10
14   Petrov   9
15   Kobayashi   5
16   de la Rosa   4

The only notable change is Fernando Alonso’s second pole-position in two races promoting him to third at Hamilton’s expense. Massa held onto fifth despite his Q1 woes. Barrichello marked his 300th GP with his best qualification of the season, starting sixth on the grid. Kobayashi qualified (just) in the top-ten for the fourth time this year, taking fifteenth off ex-F1 driver, de la Rosa.

These are the fastest-lap points with the number of outright fastest laps in brackets.

1   Webber   222   (2)
2   Alonso   187   (4)
3   Vettel   183   (3)
4   Hamilton   164   (3)
5   Kubica   122   (1)
6   Massa   110  
7   Button   106   (1)
8   Rosberg   95  
9   Schumacher   62  
10   Petrov   59   (1)
11   Barrichello   46  
12   Sutil   44  
13   Buemi   38  
14   Alguersuari   27  
15   Liuzzi   16  
16   Hülkenberg   14  
17   Kobayashi   11  
18   de la Rosa   9  

The top-five in this category were Alonso, Vettel, Kubica, Schumacher, Webber. Alonso leaps into second-place, demoting Vettel and Hamilton a place each. Kubica takes fifth from Massa. Schumacher takes a place off Petrov, as Barrichello (9th fastest) does to Sutil.

Click here to see my Google documents laps-and-distance-completed spreadsheet.

See also RG’s Italy update for his championship for new teams.

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3 Responses to “What’s The Points – Singapore Update”

  1. Tweets that mention What’s The Points – Singapore Update « effjuan -- Topsy.com Says:

    [...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by Sidepodcast F1, TooMuchRacing. TooMuchRacing said: Check out Sebastian's comparison of the 2010 F1 points totals under the previous two systems: http://bit.ly/cwFiPd [...]

  2. weight Says:

    yeah my dad will like this

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